How to pick the winner of a horse race

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Horse racing enthusiasts know how default placing a bet really is. It would be best if you analyzed the race with every single aspect. Even the most minor details can make a huge difference in who will finish first. Picking the winner means that you should consider many different factors and put them in the picture. Online sites already offer helpful information, such as the Belmont Stakes odds, which will help you pick your winner. 

On the other hand, the principle of horse betting imposed challenges. The more money is placed on a specific horse, the less money you win if you pick them. Therefore this makes choosing the winner more difficult. We share some simple methods for determining the winner to make it easier for you.

Ge to know the favorite

When you spot your favorite, it is time to get to know the horse better. You can explore the past performance and see how they did in the last races. Check how they perform on different surfaces and under other weather conditions. That will give you an idea of what to expect from the favorite. However, there is one thing that experienced horse racing enthusiasts would share with you in secret. Instead of going for the mainstream favorite, opt for the vulnerable choice. This might be a horse with excellent performance that might perform less than his capacity due to changed conditions.

Analyze their competitors

When you analyze a specific horse, make sure to know their racing class. There are different classes, depending on whether the horse has past wins. Further, they are divided into claiming and non claiming. When a horse running can be purchased after the race, it is called a claiming race. When a horse has a high price, it means that he is better than the competition. This is another indicator that tells you about his performance. 

Positive wagering value

Positive wagering value is something you should consider. It can be defined as outlined odds, which tend to change the whole game. These racehorses aren’t favorites among the bettors, so they receive lower odds. However, they end up performing better than expected. When checking the past stats, you can identify two types of horses. The ones that only perform well when selected as favorites. The second horses will occasionally show better performance. Therefore, you should use this to your advantage when wagering. Analyze the past stats and find the surprises. Then, compare them to the upcoming races to identify similarities. With this, you will find the positive wagering value. 

Pattern matching is the best way to go. For example, you might notice that a horse was overperforming the odds on a specific surface or over a particular distance. Matching a pattern means identifying the similarities between the previous and subsequent races. 

Race pace

The pace of the race is an important indicator to follow. A front runner might do well with fractions, where the race is divided into segments. However, this horse might not do well with multiple speedsters. Therefore you should identify the early lead types. These are the first and second horses. Also, it is essential to note the closers, which are the horses in the back. The stalkers are the horses that run near to the early leads. They can be pretty powerful and overrun, so keep an eye on them. It is all about finding the fastest horse. You can consider the speed figures, as these will indicate how fast a horse will perform. Look for information in their past performance stats to find out more. 

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